amayzng

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  • #36014

    amayzng
    Participant

    I think the reality is Georgia has superior depth in many positions. Just like the Gators are not as bad as they looked against Kentucky, the Dawgs are not as bad as they looked against LSU. If you look at matchups, the Georgia Pass D is far better than our Pass O, while our Pass D might be marginally better than Georgia’s O. The rush games may be a push, but Georgia has more explosive backs that could make a difference. Coaching might tilt to us, and special teams marginally as well. If Florida is to win, they have to:

    1. Win TO battle (at least +2)
    2. Win hidden yards (penalties, returns, etc.)
    3. Limit explosive UGA runs (less than 3 of the 15+ yard variety).
    4. Win time of possession
    5. Have at least one explosive on a return

    Having said that, I don’t think it happens, and I don’t think we are competitive much beyond halftime. Georgia 34-17.

  • #35082

    amayzng
    Participant

    My apologies postroute. That was good info you had.

  • #35066

    amayzng
    Participant

    So here we are less than two hours before kickoff. No suspensions have been announced. Could this be an overreaction to rumors that were false?

  • #35064

    amayzng
    Participant

    It’s definitely an easy win but some things will be off tonight. First the CSU offense is all about shortening the game, so I think we get fewer offensive possessions. Also that option game limits blitzing looks which is Granthams calling card. Finally, we will be very vanilla with the powers, isos, and screen game on offense. I can see Mullen taking a Spurrier-esque shot in the first place but not many after.

    Still like I said easy win. 38-6.

  • #34888

    amayzng
    Participant

    How about just every season since 2010…

  • #34887

    amayzng
    Participant

    Great topic to discuss. If you ever read any of Bill Connelly’s stuff on SB Nation, he does a great job breaking down teams offensively and defensively. Looking at Miss State from last year, they were great in most phases of defense and here is how he concludes the article:

    “Having a dominant defensive front can allow you to generate pressure without blitzing and can mitigate overall risk. But former defensive coordinator Todd Grantham, who followed Mullen to Gainesville, couldn’t help himself. His secondary was crazy-aggressive, which resulted in both extreme efficiency (fourth in passing success rate) and some really big big plays (128th in passing IsoPPP, which measures the magnitude of the successful plays).

    This was a very all-or-nothing defense as a result.”

    Now think about what we did well last year. Generally, okay defending the pass but giving up huge chunk plays when we didnt. We struggled to stop the run on early downs, a direct result of poor linebacker play and no depth combined with safeties that had to stay back to protect the young corners. I dont think those issues go away this year completely. There are really not enough LBs to fully run the Grantham defense and not sure how much better the safety position will be either.

    I think its realistic to expect some improvement, several more sack, but also still a lot of big plays allowed. Here’s a guess: At the end of the year we will be a Top 5 SEC defense (Top 25 nationally), allowing about 310 ypg and 21 ppg.

    Thoughts?

  • #34118

    amayzng
    Participant

    So I double checked the date to make sure this is July 4th not April 1st.

    Sorry, but I don’t think the argument rings true, and if it did, then we need to re-consider Spurrier’s place in the Florida pantheon. By your logic, that one title isn’t enough, then Steve should have had 3-4 more and we should consider him a mediocre coach.

    I would also guess that most FSU fans would kill for that 1 title.

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