This game sets up almost too good for the Gators. Kentucky’s offense can’t consistently move the ball, can’t score points. The Wildcats are coming off a home loss to Louisville in which quarterback Morgan Newton was sacked six times. The Kentucky defense has been just OK. UK has lost 24 games in a row to the Gators, who are heavily favored to run the streak to 25.
On paper, this looks like a sure thing, an easy win for Florida. It may turn out that way, but I see the Gators having to work pretty hard to secure this victory. It’s the SEC, it’s UF’s first road game, and look what’s coming next week — Alabama. If the Gators get caught looking ahead, they could get blindsided by the Wildcats.
Will Muschamp and the players have stressed throughout the week that UF’s focus is on correcting mistakes from a week ago, and on Kentucky (not Alabama or anyone else). The players seem to have bought into Muschamp’s mantra that all SEC games carry the same weight and you really need to be ready to play each week if you hope to stay on the road to Atlanta.
UK’s defense is pretty solid and could cause some problems for Weis’ offense — at least early in the game when emotions will be running high on the ‘Cat sideline. But if Louisville can score 24 in Lexington, the Gators might have a chance to double that total.
As for the Florida defense, I think the Gators have a huge edge on the line of scrimmage. UF leads the nation in rushing defense and the UK offensive front has had problems handling the likes of Western Kentucky and Central Michigan. I don’t see the Wildcats scoring many points in this one.
The game could be dicey for a while, but I just think the Gators will eventually overwhelm the Wildcats.
Prediction: Florida 38, Kentucky 10