Trade deficit hits new record


Published: Thursday, January 13, 2005 at 6:01 a.m.
Last Modified: Wednesday, January 12, 2005 at 10:58 p.m.
WASHINGTON - The U.S. trade deficit hit an all-time high of $60.3 billion in November as American appetites for foreign oil and even imported food reached record levels.
The Bush administration urged other countries to help fix the problem, but analysts said the yawning deficit won't be so easily solved.
The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that the shortfall between what the United States sells abroad and what it imports increased 7.7 percent from the previous record - the October deficit of $56 billion.
That was a surprise given that oil prices had come down during the month. Analysts said it served to underscore the seriousness of the country's trade situation.
The deficit through November totaled $561.3 billion and is expected to top $600 billion once December's figures are tallied, far surpassing last year's record of $496.5 billion.
"We now have the Grand Canyon of trade deficits," said Joel Naroff, head of a Holland, Pa., forecasting firm. "Actually, deficit is really a misnomer. Chasm, gorge, black hole, infinitely deep well all fit the description better.
News on the deficit sent the dollar sharply lower in trading Wednesday.
While the dollar is down significantly against the euro over the past three years, it has declined much less against Asian currencies. China has refused administration pleas to stop linking its currency directly to the dollar, a practice that U.S. manufacturers contend has made the yuan as much as 40 percent undervalued, giving Chinese companies a huge competitive advantage.
Former Michigan Gov. John Engler, who heads the National Association of Manufacturers, said the administration needs to keep up the pressure on China not just on the currency issue but on other unfair trade practices as well.
Engler predicted that the trade deficit would peak in 2004 and decline by around $50 billion this year. But many private economists predicted the deficit will worsen this year before starting to improve in 2006.
David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's in New York, said the solution to the U.S. deficit would come from faster growth overseas, a weaker dollar and higher U.S. savings rate, which he said could be accomplished in part by lowering the federal budget deficit.
U.S. exports, which had been rising for much of the year, suffered a setback in November, falling 2.3 percent to $66.5 billion, reflecting widespread declines including in sales of American farm products, which slipped by 1.7 percent to $4.7 billion.
The country is on track to record a deficit in farm goods - once a major surplus area - in 2004 as imports are running ahead of exports, reflecting strong consumer demand for various foreign foods.
Imports in November rose 1.3 percent to an all-time high of $155.8 billion. This increase was led by an 11.8 percent jump in petroleum products, which hit a monthly record of $19.4 billion, reflecting higher volume as the average price per barrel of crude oil edged down slightly.
With individual countries, the largest deficit, as usual, was with China, an imbalance of $16.6 billion, down slightly from October's record.
The deficits with Canada, South Korea and Russia all set records. The deficit with Japan rose to $7.3 billion, which was the highest level since October 2000, while the deficit with the 25-nation European Union rose to $10.5 billion.

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