Tuesday night brought some clarity to the SEC’s postseason possibilities but it also left a mess behind.
Tonight, none of the three games should really have any impact on the NCAA Tournament (LSU v. South Carolina, both are out; Ole Miss-Kentucky, ones in and one’s out; same for A&M-Georgia).
So here is what happened Tuesday, Big Dance wise.
* Florida locked up a berth in the tournament. That’s nine Quadrant One wins for the Gators, the third most in the country. Mike White deserves a lot of credit for two trips in two years. The Gators are playing for SEC seeding, national seeding and, oh, a chance to sweep Kentucky this Saturday afternoon.
* Mississippi State basically had the plug pulled. Without any major non-conference wins, the Bulldogs really needed a quality win at home against Tennessee. Instead, they were blown out. Mississippi State is toast unless it wins the SEC Tournament.
* Alabama is in trouble. The Tide’s loss to Florida could mean that the SEC’s hopes and dreams of getting eight teams in are fading. Joe Lunardi still has Alabama in as a 10 seed (and don’t forget, it’s a really soft bubble this year), but here is the fickle world of Q1 wins — Oklahoma’s slide has dropped the Sooners to No. 36 in RPI, which means that Alabama home win is now a Quadrant 2 win for the Tide. Alabama could really use a win at Texas A&M on Saturday.
* Missouri looks OK, but again, talk about fickle. Two of the Tigers’ six Q1 wins are at UCF (No. 69 in RPI) and at South Carolina (No. 75). If both slip below 75, Mizzou is down to four quality wins.
* Kentucky remains an interesting story. Lunardi has the Wildcats as a five seed because of their high RPI (14). That RPI is high, I guess, because they have no real bad losses. They also have zero wins against top 25 RPI teams this year and only three Quad 1 wins. When it comes to computer rankings, a wise old man once said, “Garbage in, garbage out.”
OK, that’s enough math for today. Next week — geography, as in where might the Gators and the rest of the SEC be headed.